QF - Power vs Cats

Port Adelaide v Geelong:

- Port are 17-5 SU, 13-9 ATS, 10-12 Over in 2021

- Geelong are 16-6 SU, 8-13 ATS, 10-12 Over in 2021

- Port Adelaide are 3-10 SU, 7-6 ATS against Geelong under Ken Hinkley

o Split 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS since 2019

- Since 2012, Over is 2-11 in games between these two coaches

o Last 5 games: 203, 100 (125 adj), 122 (152.5 adj), 123, 134.

- Under is 3-0 in Port Adelaide finals game played at Adelaide Oval at night

o 154 (Extra Time), 86 (107.5 adj), and 100 (125 adj)


Qualifying Final trends since 2011:

- Over is 5-15

o Average Over/Under Margin = -10.9

- Teams who finished higher on the ladder are 14-6 SU, 11-9 ATS

- Favourites are 13-7 SU, 10-10 ATS

- Teams with true home ground advantage are 9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS


Player Prop:

- Geelong concede the least disposals, uncontested possessions, and the third least uncontested marks.

- Karl Amon averages the most uncontested possessions and uncontested marks for Port Adelaide

- Karl Amon’s last 3 games vs Geelong

o 21 disp, 2 goals, 94 DT

o 12 disp, 45 DT (56 after 2020 adjustments)

o 16 disp, 64 DT (80 after 2020 adjustments)

- Port Adelaide concede the 4th least uncontested possessions in the league

- Sam Menegola median disposals in 2021 is 22

o Menegola had 16 disposals vs Port in round 16


Recommended Bets:

- 1.25 Units – Under 149.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.91 (Bet365)

- 1.25 Units – Karl Amon Under 95.5 Fantasy Points @ $ 1.87 (Ladbrokes)

- 1 Unit – Sam Menegola Under 23.5 Disposals @ $1.93 (Sportsbet)


Odds are correct as of 16:35 - Friday 27th August (AEST). Odds are subject to change.