QF - Power vs Cats
Port Adelaide v Geelong:
- Port are 17-5 SU, 13-9 ATS, 10-12 Over in 2021
- Geelong are 16-6 SU, 8-13 ATS, 10-12 Over in 2021
- Port Adelaide are 3-10 SU, 7-6 ATS against Geelong under Ken Hinkley
o Split 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS since 2019
- Since 2012, Over is 2-11 in games between these two coaches
o Last 5 games: 203, 100 (125 adj), 122 (152.5 adj), 123, 134.
- Under is 3-0 in Port Adelaide finals game played at Adelaide Oval at night
o 154 (Extra Time), 86 (107.5 adj), and 100 (125 adj)
Qualifying Final trends since 2011:
- Over is 5-15
o Average Over/Under Margin = -10.9
- Teams who finished higher on the ladder are 14-6 SU, 11-9 ATS
- Favourites are 13-7 SU, 10-10 ATS
- Teams with true home ground advantage are 9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS
Player Prop:
- Geelong concede the least disposals, uncontested possessions, and the third least uncontested marks.
- Karl Amon averages the most uncontested possessions and uncontested marks for Port Adelaide
- Karl Amon’s last 3 games vs Geelong
o 21 disp, 2 goals, 94 DT
o 12 disp, 45 DT (56 after 2020 adjustments)
o 16 disp, 64 DT (80 after 2020 adjustments)
- Port Adelaide concede the 4th least uncontested possessions in the league
- Sam Menegola median disposals in 2021 is 22
o Menegola had 16 disposals vs Port in round 16
Recommended Bets:
- 1.25 Units – Under 149.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.91 (Bet365)
- 1.25 Units – Karl Amon Under 95.5 Fantasy Points @ $ 1.87 (Ladbrokes)
- 1 Unit – Sam Menegola Under 23.5 Disposals @ $1.93 (Sportsbet)
Odds are correct as of 16:35 - Friday 27th August (AEST). Odds are subject to change.