Today’s racing is beset with wet tracks and very even quality, but we have chosen R5 Morphettville as the best value race for the day.
It’s not the best race in the world in quality terms but provides us with an obvious racing pattern and the likely winner should come in between only three horses for us. And the ones that could bob up are at good odds. Staking as always is the key.
We have them in order of
1 FAROOQ 4 units
9 ENBARR 1 unit
3 ANALYTICA 1 .5 units
8 DREAMED 1.5 units
6 GRINZINGER STAR .5 unit
FAROOQ looks like a foolproof bet. Jockey is a good rider for a # kg claimer and the horse looks streets above them, hence the 63 Kgs. Sits close to the pace where we see only one leader so can peel off and run away with it. Will be close enough if good enough. Keen on this one.
ENBARR The natural leader in the race and the young jockey rides Morphettville well and is a good judge of pace. If left alone, it can easily pinch it. This one fits our profile! Lightly raced. strong animal. Likely to be an improving horse over next two campaigns. Could easily steal this with some slow sectionals.
ANALYTICA Another on pacer and for us this is where you will need to be. Love the campaign the trainer has given it and interesting that Ryan Hurdle has been on all of its runs. The key to this one was its first up run at Morphettville. Since then, has been to all regional tracks. If can handle the distance will go extremely close or has been set for the run after.
DREAMED Like the strength at the end of its last run. Jockey claimed he never meant to lead and was a victim of circumstances and it won easy. Yeah right! Will be right in the firing line and with the lighter weight looks a great upset chance. Barend Vorster is not likely to hinder it’s chances!
GRINZINGER STAR Nice training effort to give it - tough run then a shorter distance sharpen. Needs a couple of things to go its way but at 35s we couldn’t leave it out.
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