Gee it has been tough to find a race where we could be confident this weekend. Racing has been open or the rail out ten metres or poor small fields or large fields with many chances, all week.
We've preferred to wait, as profit not action is the plan of attack.
So, we have gone far afield today to find the right race. It’s at Kalgoorlie - Race 5.
You could make a bit by just having a unit on all the runners, but we back our judgement This is how we make our living so we are having our usual amount on.
We have them:
- 9 PROCEEDS OF CRIME
- 1 TRAMIKA
- 3 LEADING MAN
- 2 KENTUCKY LOVE
PROCEEDS OF CRIME is the one that appeals most. We went back 3 starts to find the qualifying run and we love how it has been set up. It raced on the pace and was not fit enough to win. Since then it has mixed distances, but last start received a bit of a battering in the run but was strong and recovered but raced back in the field. Awesome run. Noticing that today Pateman off and Yuill on. Pateman and Yuill are virtual equal stable jockeys for Peter Fernie. Yuill will suit this one and Pateman is riding the other Fernie hope. This may be smokes and mirrors. We also think that Pateman is just down a bit on form at the moment so at the odds we figure to pick up a bit here. 3 units
KENTUCKY LOVE is one of the few in the race that can run on the pace so will give it a huge advantage in a race devoid of genuine speed. Massive clue is the jockey change to Jade McNaught. Also love the set up for the distance. Well in this. 2 units
TRAMIKA is an interesting runner. What we love is the classic 1600 metre lead up. 1760 two starts back and then wide and given tough run in a faster speed race. Steps up to the right distance and the change to Maddi Derrick is a huge positive for the horse. Right in this and no surprise to see it in a prominent position. Probably with Proceeds of Crime on the inside of it. 1 unit
LEADING MAN, we believe is in this for a run for another race. It has the makings of a 1600 metre horse and as discussed Pateman is riding it. Even if he is down a little in form, his 100/1 winner yesterday might give a boost, but he is better than most even when not at his best. Our concern is this is not a track to be too far back and we think that its racing style may mean that it can’t get out until late. Too late? Not sure so at the odds not prepared to risk much. One unit.
Good luck if you’re having a flutter, and as always, gamble responsibly.
Make sure to follow us at @ppracingtips on Twitter