We have chosen R5 Flemington this week as we search for value. In most of the races we see a number of chances that could win but they are paying around 3 or 4 dollars when there are about 6 genuine chances. So, we have gone for a race where we think we can get a good return for minimal outlay.
We have them in order of:
- 3 Aktau
- 5 Django Freeman
- 2 Oceanex
- 6 Mantastic
-14 Good Idea
3 Aktau is the sort of horse we love. Only has 8 starts, but has an outstanding record and likely to improve even more this campaign. Excellent first up and loves the track conditions. Jye McNeil is the regular rider, and is trained by top trainer Moroney. Races near pace so should be too good. 1 unit on this one.
5 Django Freeman, Very similar to Aktau. Same age and virtually same record and equally good first up. On pace runner and has excellent distance record we like the Rodd and Hickmott combination, so we are looking forward to the clash. 1 unit
2 Oceanex. First up run was just a fitness effort as they had to be on pace to win. If he’s going anywhere this campaign, it needs to show up here. Zahra riding is a big positive but is it a see how its going to ride or doe it genuinely expect to win? Track conditions suit. Should be pace on here and expect it to run home very well. At the odds, we are happy to have half a unit here.
6 Mantastic falls into almost the same category. Unsuited by distance and track conditions and first up. Not suited to the track second up in its last race, but not beaten by far and has good third up form. Jockey change a positive and we expect it to run a top race. Again, good odds so no need to go silly .5 of a unit.
14 Good Idea. Horse has good form around it, and we are intrigued as to the engagement of Oliver. They don’t need to find out how it is going so can only assume is in it to win. Will sit just off the pace so we have that slot. Only question is fitness but is a strong horse and we are big admirers of Phil Stokes as a trainer. .5 of a unit.
Units staked: 3.5
Good luck if you’re tailing, and gamble responsibly!