NFL - Wild Card Pt. 1

Bills @ Texans

  • Under is 10-5 in Texans home games when they are favourite, since 2018.

  • Average 43.8, Median 42, Average +/- of O/U is -1.63.

  • Under is 11-3 in Bills road games when they are underdogs, since 2018.

  • Average 35.93, Median 35.5, Average +/- of O/U is -5.07.

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Under 44.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.80 (TAB)

Titans @ Patriots

  • Over is 12-3-1 in Patriots home playoff games since 2009 (excludes Super Bowls)

  • Average 54.56, Median 51, Average +/- of O/U is +6.41

  • Both Teams to Score 20+ is 9-7 in these games

  • Over is 4-0 in Titans road games with Ryan Tannehill at Quarterback

  • Average 52.5, Median 49.5, Average +/- of O/U is +8.88

  • Both Teams to Score 20+ is 3-1

  • Over is 9-1 in Titans games with Ryan Tannehill at Quarterback

  • Average 54.3, Median 50, Average +/- of O/U is +9.00

  • Both Teams to Score 20+ is 8-2

  • One reason why I “only” like this play, and don’t love (2+ units) this play is:

  • Under is 15-3 in Wild Card games played outdoors since 2012

Recommended Bets: Will update on Twitter / this article closer to kickoff.


Player Props

When it comes to playoffs, Julian Edelman is the man. Since the 2013 playoffs, Edelman averages 102.85 receiving yards from 12.38 targets and 8.15 receptions, and scoring 3 touchdowns in the process. DVOA have the Titans ranked 21st on Pass Defence this season; the 2nd lowest of the playoff teams (Texans). This is one of my favourite bets every playoffs games involving the Patriots.

Recommended Bets:

  • 1.5 Units – Julian Edelman over 62.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.87 (Pointsbet)

  • 0.5 Units – Julian Edelman 100+ Receiving Yards @ $5.70 (TAB)

All plays were posted on our Twitter handle, @TheTrendBettor, earlier in the day. Make sure you follow to receive all of our updates!


Also posted 2 Units - Under 45 @ $1.98 (Topsport) in the Seahawks @ Eagles. More in the preview tomorrow.

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