Updated: Jan 10, 2021
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1.5 Units – Mark Andrews Over 56.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet) 1.5 Units – Marquise Brown Over 49.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)
Andrews has passed his number in 5 of his last 6 games
Brown has passed his number 3 times in the last 6 games
Andrews is the most targeted Raven per game (6.43), Brown the 2nd (6.31)
Not going to lie, I was going back and forth as to which one to choose as I liked them both equally. Going to risk it here and back both.
In the last two games against the Titans, Ravens TE’s have accumulated 118 and 96 receiving yards
Titans concede the 4th most yards to WR’s (196.0 per game)
I’m trying to hide behind numbers, but ultimately, the Titans D just sucks, plain and simple.
1 Unit – Jared Cook Over 29.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.90 (TAB) 0.5 Units – Jared Cook Anytime TD @ $3.75 (Sportsbet)
The Bears concede the 7th most receiving yards to TE’s in the league (58.3)
Also concede the 2nd most Touchdowns (0.8)
With Brees as QB, Cook has gone over this number in 8 of 11 games
And has scored in 6 of the 11
I wish Michael Thomas wasn’t returning, because I’d love this play even more (even if it were at a higher number), but I like it too much to be shied away.
1.5 Units – Diontae Johnson (Steelers) Over 63.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)
Browns concede the 10th most yards to WR’s in the league (175.3), but the 3rd most when playing on the road (201.7)
Johnson has been the most targeted receiver for the Steelers (9.6 per game)
Has been targeted 10+ times in each of their last home games
Had 96 yards against the Browns last week with Mason Rudolph as QB
Odds are correct as of 17:15 Sunday 10th of January 2021 (AEDT). Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly!
Saturday plays posted below
1 Unit – Jack Doyle (Colts) Over 20.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Topsport)
The Bills concede the 2nd most receiving yards to Tight Ends (62.1)
Bills have conceded this number to 18 (!!!) Tight Ends this season
Colts use 3 Tight Ends (Burton, Alie-Cox), that creates ‘some’ doubt
Doyle has lead the snap count among team Tight Ends in each of their last 4 games
44, 14, 50, 17 receiving yards in his last 4. So he’s 2/4 in this area which isn’t great. But with CB White shadowing WR Hilton, I think Rivers will have to look more central to his big men.
Play to 25.5
1 Unit – Jacob Hollister (Seahawks) Over 14.5 @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)
Similar areas to the Doyle selection
With Jalen Ramsey most likely shadowing DK Metcalf and maybe a bit of Tyler Lockett, Wilson will have to look elsewhere to pick up some yardage.
Seahawks Tight Ends have collectively picked up 55 and 49 yards against the Rams this year
Hollister splits reps with Greg Olsen and Will Dissley
Since Week 11, Hollister has had 3, 5, 4, 1, 2, 6, 3 targets
Hollister lead the targets among team Tight Ends in 5 of the 7 games
Play to 18.5
2 Units – Tom Brady (Bucs) Under 297.5 Passing Yards @ $1.87 (Pointsbet)
Washington concede the least passing yards in the league (210.2 per game)
Have conceded over this number only twice
Goff 309, Ben 305
Brady has thrown over this number 7 times this year
ATL x2, DET, KC, CAR, LVR, and LAC
Not a good defence between them
Keep in mind – 2 units is as high as I go for player props.
Play down to 275.5
More player props tomorrow!
Odds are correct as of 14:15 Saturday 9th of January 2021 (AEDT). Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly!