NFL Wild Card - Player Props

Updated: Jan 10, 2021

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1.5 Units – Mark Andrews Over 56.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet) 1.5 Units – Marquise Brown Over 49.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)

  • Andrews has passed his number in 5 of his last 6 games

  • Brown has passed his number 3 times in the last 6 games

  • Andrews is the most targeted Raven per game (6.43), Brown the 2nd (6.31)

  • Not going to lie, I was going back and forth as to which one to choose as I liked them both equally. Going to risk it here and back both.

  • In the last two games against the Titans, Ravens TE’s have accumulated 118 and 96 receiving yards

  • Titans concede the 4th most yards to WR’s (196.0 per game)

  • I’m trying to hide behind numbers, but ultimately, the Titans D just sucks, plain and simple.

1 Unit – Jared Cook Over 29.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.90 (TAB) 0.5 Units – Jared Cook Anytime TD @ $3.75 (Sportsbet)

  • The Bears concede the 7th most receiving yards to TE’s in the league (58.3)

  • Also concede the 2nd most Touchdowns (0.8)

  • With Brees as QB, Cook has gone over this number in 8 of 11 games

  • And has scored in 6 of the 11

  • I wish Michael Thomas wasn’t returning, because I’d love this play even more (even if it were at a higher number), but I like it too much to be shied away.

1.5 Units – Diontae Johnson (Steelers) Over 63.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)

  • Browns concede the 10th most yards to WR’s in the league (175.3), but the 3rd most when playing on the road (201.7)

  • Johnson has been the most targeted receiver for the Steelers (9.6 per game)

  • Has been targeted 10+ times in each of their last home games

  • Had 96 yards against the Browns last week with Mason Rudolph as QB

Odds are correct as of 17:15 Sunday 10th of January 2021 (AEDT). Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly!

Saturday plays posted below

1 Unit – Jack Doyle (Colts) Over 20.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Topsport)

  • The Bills concede the 2nd most receiving yards to Tight Ends (62.1)

  • Bills have conceded this number to 18 (!!!) Tight Ends this season

  • Colts use 3 Tight Ends (Burton, Alie-Cox), that creates ‘some’ doubt

  • Doyle has lead the snap count among team Tight Ends in each of their last 4 games

  • 44, 14, 50, 17 receiving yards in his last 4. So he’s 2/4 in this area which isn’t great. But with CB White shadowing WR Hilton, I think Rivers will have to look more central to his big men.

  • Play to 25.5

1 Unit – Jacob Hollister (Seahawks) Over 14.5 @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)

  • Similar areas to the Doyle selection

  • With Jalen Ramsey most likely shadowing DK Metcalf and maybe a bit of Tyler Lockett, Wilson will have to look elsewhere to pick up some yardage.

  • Seahawks Tight Ends have collectively picked up 55 and 49 yards against the Rams this year

  • Hollister splits reps with Greg Olsen and Will Dissley

  • Since Week 11, Hollister has had 3, 5, 4, 1, 2, 6, 3 targets

  • Hollister lead the targets among team Tight Ends in 5 of the 7 games

  • Play to 18.5

2 Units – Tom Brady (Bucs) Under 297.5 Passing Yards @ $1.87 (Pointsbet)

  • Washington concede the least passing yards in the league (210.2 per game)

  • Have conceded over this number only twice

  • Goff 309, Ben 305

  • Brady has thrown over this number 7 times this year

  • ATL x2, DET, KC, CAR, LVR, and LAC

  • Not a good defence between them

  • Keep in mind – 2 units is as high as I go for player props.

  • Play down to 275.5

More player props tomorrow!

Odds are correct as of 14:15 Saturday 9th of January 2021 (AEDT). Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly!