NFL Week 9

Main Plays:

- 1.25 Units – Cleveland Win @ 2.15 (TopSport)

- 1 Unit – Giants +3.5 @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)

- 1 Unit – Vikings +6 @ 1.93 (Sportsbet)

- 1 Unit – Cowboys by 1-17 @ 1.95 (Sportsbet)

- 1 Unit – Bills to win both halves @ $1.90 (Bet365)

- 2 Units – Titans +7.5 @ 1.86 (Bet365)


-- Player Props --

1.25 Units – Tyrod Taylor over 228.5 passing yards @ 1.88 (TopSport)

- Taylor had 291 yards and 125 in his first game and a half (got injured and taken out of the game at HT in week 2) against the Jags and the Browns, so 228.5 seems a bit on the lower side, especially since…

- Miami concede the 2nd most passing yards in the league – 303.8 pg


1.25 Unit – Baker Mayfield over 230.5 passing yards @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)

- Baker’s median passing yards this season is 234, and has thrown for 300+ in 2 of his 3 road games this season

- Bengals concede the 9th most passing yards in the league (281.6 ypg), and have conceded 250+ in 5 of their 8 games this season


1 Unit – Matt Ryan over 250.5 passing yards @ 1.88 (TopSport)

- It’s a lot easier to pass the ball against the Saints than it is to run it on them.

- Saints concede 281.1 passing ypg – 10th most in the league

- Saints concede 57.4 rushing ypg to RB’s – 2nd least in the league

- Matt Ryan’s median yards this season is 283


1 Unit – Boston Scott over 44.5 rush yards @ 1.95 (Bet365) 0.5 Units – Jordan Howard TD @ 4.40 (Ladbrokes)

- To the naked eye, the carrying load for the Eagles looked very evenly spread:

o Boston Scott: 12-60-2

o Jordan Howard: 12-57-2

o Kenneth Gainwell: 13-27-0

- But when you dig a little deeper, you will notice that 8 of the 12 carriers for Howard were in the red zone – only 3 for Scott. And Gainwell had 12 of his 13 carries in the last quarter as the Eagles went on to romp the Lions 44 to 6.

- Howard in short-yardage situations, and Scott running between the 20’s. Got it.

- Chargers concede the most running yards to RB’s this season – 132.3, and have conceded the tied 3rd most rushing TD’s to backs this season – 9


1.25 Unit – Austin Ekeler over 106.5 rush/rec yards @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)

- Ekeler’s median total yards is 115

- Eagles concede the 3rd most rush/rec yards to RB’s this season – 163.3 ypg


1.5 Units – Marquise Brown over 58.5 receiving yards @ 1.90 (Bet365)

- Brown’s median yards this season is 80

- Vikings concede the 7th most receiving yards to WRs this season, and have given up some monster games.

- J Chase 101, R Moore 114, DK Metcalf 107, Cooper 122, Lamb 112


1 Unit – Emmanuel Sanders over 53.5 receiving yards @ 1.90 (Bet365)

- Sanders’ number is set right at his median – 54

- I’d expect to see him bounce back, especially against a poor Jags D, I’d expect him to be almost force-fed back into confidence after being held statless last week.

- Jags concede the 5th most receiving yards to WR’s this season – 192.3 ypg


1.25 Units – Tyler Conklin over 32.5 receiving yards @ 1.88 (Ladbrokes) 0.5 Units – Tyler Conklin TD @ 7.75 (Ladbrokes)

- Conklin’s median receiving yards this season is 41 yards

- Baltimore concede the most receiving yards to Tight End’s this season – 77.9 ypg

- Baltimore have conceded o33.5 to 6 of the 7 primary tight ends they’ve faced this season

- Baltimore have conceded a touchdown to a tight end in 6 of their 7 games – highest rate in the league


1.5 Units – Dallas Goedert over 53.5 receiving yards @ 1.88 (TopSport)

- Small sample size, but since Ertz was traded to the Cardinals, Goedert has gone for 70 and 72 receiving yards in his two weeks as the uncontested starting Tight-End.

o 12 of 13 Tight End targets have gone to Goedert. Jack Stoll - 1

- Chargers concede the 3rd most receiving yards to TE’s this season – 74.6 ypg


Additional Touchdown Bets:

- 1 Unit – Josh Jacobs @ 2 (Sportsbet)

- 1 Unit – Zac Moss @ 2.30 (Bet365)


Odds are correct as of 14:10 - Sunday 7th of November 2021 (AEDT). Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.