The Trend BettorNFL - Week 9
Texans v Jags (London)
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 games at Wembley
Average 33, Median 34.
Last 5 have gone UNDER the O/U by 14.6
Under is 4-1 in games between these two teams since 2017
Average 32.6, Median 27
Under is 10-5 in Texans divisional games since 2017
Average 41.67, Median 37
Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Under 47 Total Points Scored @ $1.90 (Bet365)
Redskins @ Bills
Small sample size, but the Redskins have scored 2 total touchdowns in the last 3 weeks (since firing Jay Gruden), scoring 26 points in the process
Redskins QB, Dwayne Haskins, is making his first start, and so far, and my eyes tell me that he is not up to NFL standard (yet)
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Redskins Under 13.0 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes)
Bears @ Eagles
Eagles are 9-4 SU, 5-7-1 ATS in their last 13 home games
6 of 13 games have been won by 1-13
In the 9 losses the Bears have had under Matt Nagy, each have been by 1-13
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Eagles 1-13 @ $2.46 (Sportsbet/TopSport)
Colts @ Steelers
Each of the 7 Colts games this season have been decided by 7 points or less
4 of the 7 Steelers games have been decided by 7 points or less
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Either Team by Under 7.5 Points @ $1.91 (Sportsbet)
Lions @ Raiders
Both teams have scored 20+ in 6 of the Lions’ 7 games this season
Both teams have scored 20+ in 4 of the Raiders’ 7 game this season
4 from the last 4
Lions and Raiders are ranked in the top 6 (#5th and #6th respectively) in passing offence (DVOA), and are both a below average passing defence (22nd and 29th respectively). I expect both teams will be able to pass the ball quite easily.
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $1.95 (TAB)
Bucs @ Seahawks
In each of the last 7 Seahawks home games, both teams have scored 20+ points
In 7 of the last 9 Bucs games, both teams have scored 20+ points
In 8 of the last 10 Seahawks games, both teams have scored 20+ points
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $1.90 (TAB)
Browns @ Broncos
Broncos have scored over 16.5 in only 2 of their 8 games this season
After moving Joe Flacco to IR due to a neck injury, the Broncos have since named Brandon Allen to make his NFL debut. In his pre-season career, he has thrown for a total of 6 touchdowns and 11 interceptions (yelp)
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Broncos Under 17.5 Team Total @ $1.88 (Ladbrokes)
Player Props
1 Unit - Anytime touchdown scorer – unless stated otherwise
- Austin Ekeler – RB – LAC @ $3.10 (TAB)
- Josh Jacobs – RB – OAK @ $1.95 (Ladbrokes)
- Derrick Henry – RB – TEN @ $2.10 (Ladbrokes/Sportsbet/TAB)
- Allen Robinson o65.5 Receiving Yards – WR – CHI @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)
- DJ Chark o68.5 Receiving Yards – WR – JAX @ $1.87 (Ladbrokes)
Odds are correct as of 20:30 - November 3, 2019. Odds are subject to change.