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NFL - Week 9

Texans v Jags (London)

  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 games at Wembley

  • Average 33, Median 34.

  • Last 5 have gone UNDER the O/U by 14.6

  • Under is 4-1 in games between these two teams since 2017

  • Average 32.6, Median 27

  • Under is 10-5 in Texans divisional games since 2017

  • Average 41.67, Median 37

Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Under 47 Total Points Scored @ $1.90 (Bet365)


Redskins @ Bills

  • Small sample size, but the Redskins have scored 2 total touchdowns in the last 3 weeks (since firing Jay Gruden), scoring 26 points in the process

  • Redskins QB, Dwayne Haskins, is making his first start, and so far, and my eyes tell me that he is not up to NFL standard (yet)

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Redskins Under 13.0 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes)


Bears @ Eagles

  • Eagles are 9-4 SU, 5-7-1 ATS in their last 13 home games

  • 6 of 13 games have been won by 1-13

  • In the 9 losses the Bears have had under Matt Nagy, each have been by 1-13

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Eagles 1-13 @ $2.46 (Sportsbet/TopSport)


Colts @ Steelers

  • Each of the 7 Colts games this season have been decided by 7 points or less

  • 4 of the 7 Steelers games have been decided by 7 points or less

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Either Team by Under 7.5 Points @ $1.91 (Sportsbet)


Lions @ Raiders

  • Both teams have scored 20+ in 6 of the Lions’ 7 games this season

  • Both teams have scored 20+ in 4 of the Raiders’ 7 game this season

  • 4 from the last 4

  • Lions and Raiders are ranked in the top 6 (#5th and #6th respectively) in passing offence (DVOA), and are both a below average passing defence (22nd and 29th respectively). I expect both teams will be able to pass the ball quite easily.

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $1.95 (TAB)


Bucs @ Seahawks

  • In each of the last 7 Seahawks home games, both teams have scored 20+ points

  • In 7 of the last 9 Bucs games, both teams have scored 20+ points

  • In 8 of the last 10 Seahawks games, both teams have scored 20+ points

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $1.90 (TAB)


Browns @ Broncos

  • Broncos have scored over 16.5 in only 2 of their 8 games this season

  • After moving Joe Flacco to IR due to a neck injury, the Broncos have since named Brandon Allen to make his NFL debut. In his pre-season career, he has thrown for a total of 6 touchdowns and 11 interceptions (yelp)

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Broncos Under 17.5 Team Total @ $1.88 (Ladbrokes)

Player Props

1 Unit - Anytime touchdown scorer – unless stated otherwise

- Austin Ekeler – RB – LAC @ $3.10 (TAB)

- Josh Jacobs – RB – OAK @ $1.95 (Ladbrokes)

- Derrick Henry – RB – TEN @ $2.10 (Ladbrokes/Sportsbet/TAB)

- Allen Robinson o65.5 Receiving Yards – WR – CHI @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)

- DJ Chark o68.5 Receiving Yards – WR – JAX @ $1.87 (Ladbrokes)


Odds are correct as of 20:30 - November 3, 2019. Odds are subject to change.