NFL - Week 7 - 2019
49ers @ Redskins
Under is 4-1 in 49ers games this season
Under is 3-2 in Redskins games this season
Redskins’ Interim Head Coach, Bill Callahan, stated that he will be looking to run the ball more.
No team runs the ball more than the 49ers (39 attempts / game)
More running = lower scoring
Under is 28-8 in the 36 games where the home team is underdogs of 10 or more points since 2012
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Under 42 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes, posted on Twitter on Saturday)
Jags @ Bengals
Bengals are 0-7 SU, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs, dating back to week 14, 2018
Jags are 2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS as favourites since 2018
Recommended Bets:
1 Unit – Bengals +4 @ $1.96 (Topsport, posted on Twitter on Saturday)
0.5 Units – Bengals ML @ 2.71 (Topsport, posted on Twitter on Saturday)
Better odds now available
Vikings @ Lions
Under is 27-8 in Vikings Divisional games under Mike Zimmer
Average 37.63, Median 36.5
Under is 7-3 in Lions home games under Matt Patricia
Average 44.4, Median 40.5
Lions are 5-10 SU, 10-5 ATS as underdogs under Matt Patricia
Recommended Bets:
1 Unit – Under 43.5 @ 1.92 (Ladbrokes, posted on Twitter on Saturday)
0.5 Units – Under 43.5 @ $1.90 (Sportsbet/TAB)
Cardinals @ Giants
Giants are 3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS as home favourites under Pat Shurmur
Cardinals are 3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS in 1pm ET time slot games
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Giants -3 @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes, posted on twitter on Saturday)
Texans @ Colts
Colts are 8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS as home favourites since 2017
Concede an average of 17.77 points per game
Under is 9-6 in Texans road divisional games under Bill O’Brien
Under is 24-6 in Colts home divisional games since 2009
Texans Team Total Under is 5-2 in their last 7 road divisional games
Average 17.71, Median 17
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Texans Team Total Under 23.5 @ $1.86 (Topsport)
Rams @ Falcons
Under Sean McVay, the Rams are 16-4 SU, 13-7 ATS in road games
Since 2018, the Falcons are 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS in home games
We have one very desperate team vs a team who know their season’s over after only 6 weeks. Massive motivational difference here
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Rams -3 @ $1.96 (Sportsbet)
Raiders @ Packers
Packers are 12-3 SU, 8-7 ATS as home favourites since 2017
Raiders are 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS in true road games under John Gruden
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Packers -4.5 @ $1.90 (TAB)
Player Props
1 Unit – Anytime touchdown scorer unless stated otherwise
1.5 Units – Evan Engram – NYG – TE @ $3 (BetEasy)
John Brown – BUF – WR @ $3 (Pointsbet)
Robert Woods – LAR – WR @ $3 (Sportsbet/TAB)
Auden Tate – CIN – WR @ $3.75 (Sportsbet/TAB)
Josh Jacobs – OAK – RB @ $2 (Bet365)
Michael Gallup – DAL – WR @ $2.80 (Sportsbet)
NFL 2019 YTD: 46-42, +15.65 Units (15.42 ROI%)
Odds are correct as of 19:45, Sunday the 20th of October, 2019. Odds are subject to change.