NFL - Week 4

Browns @ Ravens

• Ravens are 2-3 SU, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home divisional games

• Browns are 2-3-1 SU, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 divisional games as underdogs

• Ravens are 7-3 SU, 3-7 ATS in home games since 2018

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Browns +7 @ $1.86 (Bet365)

Panthers @ Texans

• - Texans are 7-1 SU in their last 8 home games

• 5 wins by 7 points or more

• Panthers are 3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS in their last 12 road games

• Trends aren’t strong in this one, this one is more of a personal play. Assuming home field is worth 3 points, I find it hard to believe that the Texans are only a singular point better than the Kyle Allen-led Panthers outfit

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Texans -3.5 @ $1.89 (BetEasy)

Chargers @ Dolphins

• Under is 5-1 in Chargers road games as favourites under Anthony Lynn

• Average 31.17, Median 29

• Under is 27-7 in games where the home team is underdogs of 10+ points, since 2012

Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Under 45.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.90 (BetEasy)

Raiders @ Colts

• Raiders are 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS in road games under John Gruden

• Colts are 7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS in their last 7 home games

• All as favourites

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Unit – Colts -6.5 @ $1.90 (Bet365)

Cowboys @ Saints

• Since week 11 last season, the Under is 8-4 in Saints games

• Average 44.33, Median 47.5

• Since 2015, Under is 17-4 in Cowboys road non-Divisional games

• Average 39.19, Median 38

Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Under 47.5 @ $1.90 (BetEasy)

Player Props – Anytime Touchdown Scorer (1 Unit Each unless stated otherwise)

• Terry McLaurin – WR – WAS @ $3 (TAB)

• Amari Cooper – WR – DAL @ $2.25 (TAB/Sportsbet)

• Tyrell Williams – WR – OAK @ $3 (Pointsbet)

• 1.5u – Will Dissley – TE – SEA @ $2.62 (Bet365)

• Kerryon Johnson – RB – DET @ $2.3 (Sportsbet)

• DJ Moore – WR – CAR @ $3.50 (TAB)

NFL 2019 YTD: 26-17, +12.68 units

Odds are correct as of 14:15 on Sunday, 29th September 2019. Odds are subject to change.