NFL - Week 16

Updated: Dec 22, 2019

Saints @ Titans

  • Since Drew Brees has returned to the starting lineup, the Saints have scored 26+ in 6 of their 7 games. Averaging 30.57 in the process.

  • Since Ryan Tannehill has started for the Titans, they have scored 20+ in all 7 of their game. Averaging 31.14 in the process.

Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $1.96 (Pointsbet)


Steelers @ Jets

  • Under is 11-3 in Steelers games this season

  • Average 37.71, Median 38, Average +/- of O/U is -5.03

  • Under is 6-0 in Steelers road games this season

  • Average 35.83, Median 38, Average +/- of O/U is -7.17

  • Under is 5-2 in Jets home games this season

  • . Average 39.85, Median 37, Average +/- of O/U is -4

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 37.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.85 (TAB)


Raiders @ Chargers

  • Under is 5-2 in Chargers home games this season

  • Average 43.14, Median 41, Average +/- of O/U is -3.86

  • Under is 7-1 in Chargers home divisional games under Anthony Lynn

  • Average 39.5, Median 38, Average +/- of O/U is -7.56

  • Under is 12-0 in the last 12 Raiders divisional road games

  • Average 36.25, Median 37, Average +/- of O/U is -10.04

  • Under is 4-1 in games between these teams since Anthony Lynn has been the Chargers’ HC

  • Average 37, Median 36, Average +/- of O/U is -11.4

Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Under 45.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.93 (Topsport)


Cardinals @ Seahawks

  • No team has won more games by 1-13 than the Seahawks this season (10)

  • In their last 8 home games, the Seahawks are 6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS. All 6 wins have been by 1-13

  • Since 2017, the Seahawks are 4-1 SU, 1-3-1 ATS against the Cardinals

  • 3 wins by 1-13

Recommended Bets:

1 Unit – Seahawks 1-13 @ $2.50 (Ladbrokes/Sportsbet)

1.25 Units – Cardinals +9 @ $1.86 (Bet365)


Cowboys @ Eagles

  • Under is 4-3 in games between these two teams when the HC’s have been Peterson & Garrett

  • Average 41.43, Median 47, Average +/- of -3.92

  • Under is 23-10 in Eagles home games under Doug Peterson

  • Average 40.76, Median 40, Average +/- of -3.70

  • Deterrent: Over is 7-2 in the last 9 Cowboys road games

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 46.5 Total Points Scored $1.91 (Topsport)


Chiefs @ Bears

  • Chiefs are 11-4 SU, 9-6 ATS in road games with Mahomes at QB

  • 8 wins by 1-13

  • Bears are 4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS in their last 8 home games

  • All losses by 1-13

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Chiefs by 1-13 @ $2.42 (Sportsbet)


Player Props

1 Unit – Anytime Touchdown Scorer unless stated otherwise

  • 0.5u Tyler Boyd – CIN – WR @ $2.75 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)

  • 0.5u Amari Cooper – DAL – WR @$2.75 (Sportsbet)

  • Amari Cooper o68.5 rec yards @ $1.88 (Topsport)

  • 0.5u Terry McLaurin – WAS – WR @ $2.50 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)

  • Courtland Sutton o68.5 rec. yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)

  • Marlon Mack – IND – RB @ $1.95 (Ladbrokes)

  • Devonta Freeman o80.5 rush/rec yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)

  • 1.5u Joe Mixon o101.5 rush/rec yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)

  • Tyler Lockett – SEA – WR @$2 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)

  • Jacob Hollister – SEA – TE @ $2.75 (Ladbrokes)

  • Hunter Henry – LAC – TE @ $2.75 (Ladbrokes)

__________________________

Texans @ Bucs

  • Both Teams to Score 20+ has hit on 4 of the 6 Bucs home games this season, and 9 of their 14 games in total

  • Bucs have failed to score 20+ in only 2 of their games this season

  • Both Teams to Score 20+ has hit in 5 of the 7 Texans road games this season, and 9 of their total games in total

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Both Team to Score 20+ @ $1.80 (Pointsbet)


Bills @ Patriots

  • Under is 4-1 in games between these two teams while Sean McDermott has been the Head Coach of the Bills

  • Average 34.4, Median 31, Average +/- of O/U is -11

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 37.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.90 (TopSport)


Rams @ 49ers Player Prop


- 0.5 Units - Tyler Higbee – Rams – TE – Anytime Touchdown Scorer @ $4.25 (Pointsbet)

- 1 Unit – Higbee over 41.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)

  • Higbee made the most of fellow Tight End – Gerald Everett’s injury, accumulating 7 or more catches and 100+ yards in each of the three games. The bad news is that Everett is due back to play this week, but I wouldn’t be so certain that he will be slotting back into the TE1 position considering that Everett has averaged only just below 40 yards per game this season. Higbee has been the most targeted in each of their last two games, and the Rams are averaging 27.67 points in their last 3 games – their best 3 week run since week 1-3.

  • On the other side of the ball, the 49ers’ D has regressed quite a bit. In the first 7 weeks, the 49ers didn’t concede over 20 points once, but have conceded over 20 points in 5 of their last 7. One weaker area that opponents have identified is the Tight End position, where the 49ers have conceded 5 touchdowns to Tight Ends in their last 6 games.

Odds are correct as of 22:15, Saturday the 21st of December 2019. Odds are subject to change.


NFL YTD: 118-106, 38.53 units.


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