NFL - Week 12

Steelers @ Bengals

  • Since 2013, Under is 23-5 in Steelers games where they are road favourites.

  • Average 39.11, Median 39, Average +/- of O/U = -7 points.

  • Since 2013, Under is 15-5 in Steelers road divisional games.

  • Average 39.85, Median 39, Average +/- of O/U = -4.83

  • Last 3 games between these two teams have been Under.

  • Average of 36 total points. Average +/- of O/U = -10.5

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 38 Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes)


Dolphins @ Browns

  • This is the first time since 2007 that the Browns are shorter than 10 point favourites

  • In their last 5 games, the Dolphins have been out-gained 142-113 (6 points per game)

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Dolphins +11 @ $1.91 (TopSport)


Raiders @ Jets

  • This is only the 2nd time that the Raiders have been road favourites under this stint of Jon Gruden – Lost 1st game 3-34.

  • Over is 7-3 in games where Sam Darnold has started at MetLife Stadium

  • Average 51.8, Median 50.5, Average +/- of O/U = +7.8

  • Over is 3-1 in Raiders road games in 2019

  • Average 55, Median 53, Average +/- of O/U = +7.63

Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Over 46 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes)


Seahawks @ Eagles

  • 15 of the 22 Seahawks road games since 2017 have been decided by 7 points or less

  • 13 of 18 as underdogs

  • 11 of the 13 Eagles home games since 2018 have been decided by 7 points or less

  • 9 of 11 as favourites

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Either Team to Win by Under 7.5 @ $2.18 (Pointsbet)


Lions @ Redskins

  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 Redskins games

  • Average 31.57, Median 33, Average +/- of O/U = -9.5

  • Under is 6-4 in the last Lions road games

  • Average 40.5, Median 39, Average +/- of O/U = -3.8

  • Winds of 17mph (and two sub-par Quarterbacks) will force a lot of running in this game. More running = less scores.

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Under 40.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes)


Jaguars @ Titans

  • Titans are 5-0 SU, 3-1-1 ATS against the Jags at home since 2014

  • 3 games were won by 1-13, and another by 14

  • Since 2015, the Jags are 2-12 SU, 7-7 ATS in divisional road games

  • 7 losses by 1-13

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Titans to win by 1-13 @ $2.48 (TopSport)


Packers @ 49ers

  • 49ers have scored 20+ in 9 of their 10 games this season, averaging 29.5 in the process

  • Packers have scored 20 in 8 of their 10 games this season, averaging 25 in the process

  • Both teams have scored 20+ in each of the last 3 49ers games

  • Both teams have scored 20+ in 5 of the last 7 Packers games

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $2.20 (Pointsbet)


Above plays were posted on Twitter at 22:51, Saturday 23rd November, 2019.


Player Props:

1 Unit – Anytime Touchdown Scorer unless stated otherwise

  • Calvin Ridley – ATL – WR @ $ 2.20 (Sportsbet)

  • Allen Robinson over 60.5 receiving yards – CHI – WR @ $1.93 (Sportsbet)

  • Tyrell Williams – OAK – WR @ $3.25 (Sportsbet/TAB)

  • DK Metcalf – SEA – WR @ $2.75 (BetEasy/TAB)

  • Tevin Coleman – SF – RB @ $2.50 (BetEasy)

  • Derrick Henry – TEN – RB @ $1.83 (Sportsbet)

  • Ryan Griffen – NYJ – TE @ $4.50 (Sportsbet/TAB)


Odds are correct as of 14:30, Sunday 24th November, 2019. Odds are subject to change.


NFL YTD: 87-73, +33.39 Units (18.44 ROI%)


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