The Trend BettorNFL - Week 12
Steelers @ Bengals
Since 2013, Under is 23-5 in Steelers games where they are road favourites.
Average 39.11, Median 39, Average +/- of O/U = -7 points.
Since 2013, Under is 15-5 in Steelers road divisional games.
Average 39.85, Median 39, Average +/- of O/U = -4.83
Last 3 games between these two teams have been Under.
Average of 36 total points. Average +/- of O/U = -10.5
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 38 Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes)
Dolphins @ Browns
This is the first time since 2007 that the Browns are shorter than 10 point favourites
In their last 5 games, the Dolphins have been out-gained 142-113 (6 points per game)
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Dolphins +11 @ $1.91 (TopSport)
Raiders @ Jets
This is only the 2nd time that the Raiders have been road favourites under this stint of Jon Gruden – Lost 1st game 3-34.
Over is 7-3 in games where Sam Darnold has started at MetLife Stadium
Average 51.8, Median 50.5, Average +/- of O/U = +7.8
Over is 3-1 in Raiders road games in 2019
Average 55, Median 53, Average +/- of O/U = +7.63
Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Over 46 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes)
Seahawks @ Eagles
15 of the 22 Seahawks road games since 2017 have been decided by 7 points or less
13 of 18 as underdogs
11 of the 13 Eagles home games since 2018 have been decided by 7 points or less
9 of 11 as favourites
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Either Team to Win by Under 7.5 @ $2.18 (Pointsbet)
Lions @ Redskins
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 Redskins games
Average 31.57, Median 33, Average +/- of O/U = -9.5
Under is 6-4 in the last Lions road games
Average 40.5, Median 39, Average +/- of O/U = -3.8
Winds of 17mph (and two sub-par Quarterbacks) will force a lot of running in this game. More running = less scores.
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Under 40.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Ladbrokes)
Jaguars @ Titans
Titans are 5-0 SU, 3-1-1 ATS against the Jags at home since 2014
3 games were won by 1-13, and another by 14
Since 2015, the Jags are 2-12 SU, 7-7 ATS in divisional road games
7 losses by 1-13
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Titans to win by 1-13 @ $2.48 (TopSport)
Packers @ 49ers
49ers have scored 20+ in 9 of their 10 games this season, averaging 29.5 in the process
Packers have scored 20 in 8 of their 10 games this season, averaging 25 in the process
Both teams have scored 20+ in each of the last 3 49ers games
Both teams have scored 20+ in 5 of the last 7 Packers games
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $2.20 (Pointsbet)
Above plays were posted on Twitter at 22:51, Saturday 23rd November, 2019.
Player Props:
1 Unit – Anytime Touchdown Scorer unless stated otherwise
Calvin Ridley – ATL – WR @ $ 2.20 (Sportsbet)
Allen Robinson over 60.5 receiving yards – CHI – WR @ $1.93 (Sportsbet)
Tyrell Williams – OAK – WR @ $3.25 (Sportsbet/TAB)
DK Metcalf – SEA – WR @ $2.75 (BetEasy/TAB)
Tevin Coleman – SF – RB @ $2.50 (BetEasy)
Derrick Henry – TEN – RB @ $1.83 (Sportsbet)
Ryan Griffen – NYJ – TE @ $4.50 (Sportsbet/TAB)
Odds are correct as of 14:30, Sunday 24th November, 2019. Odds are subject to change.
NFL YTD: 87-73, +33.39 Units (18.44 ROI%)
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