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NFL Week 10

Lions @ Bears

  • 7 of the 8 Lions games have been decided by 7 points or less (tied 2nd most in the league)

  • Since Matt Nagy started coaching Chicago, Chicago games have been decided by 7 points or less in 15 of the 26 (57.7%) of the time, tied for 6th most in the league

Recommended Bet: Either Team by Under 7.5 was a play until it was announced that Matt Stafford is now in doubt.


Bills @ Browns

  • Under is 15-5 in Bills road games under Sean McDermott

  • Average 37.6, Median 37, goes under by an average of 4.58 points

  • Under is 6-4 in Browns games with Baker Mayfield at home

  • Average 45.2, Median 45, goes under by an average of 1.00 points

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 41 @ $1.88 (better number is now available)


Ravens @ Bengals

  • Under is 31-8 in games since 2012 where the home team is underdogs of 10+ points or less

  • 18-4 in divisional games

  • Under is 6-2 in Bengals game this season

  • Average 41.75, Median 41.5

  • Under is 39-31-2 in Ravens divisional games under John Harbaugh

  • Average 40.39, Median 39

Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Under 44.5 @ $1.99 (Topsport, posted on Twitter)


Cardinals @ Bucs

  • BTTS 20+ is 6-3 in Cardinals games this season

  • BTTS 20+ is 6-2 in Bucs games this season

  • 6-0 last 6

Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $1.90 (TAB)


Chiefs @ Titans

  • Chiefs have won the tied-third most games by 1-13 since 2018 (11 times)

  • Titans have lost the tied-6th most games by 1-13 this season (4 times)

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Chiefs by 1-13 @ $2.40 (Ladbrokes/TAB)


Dolphins @ Colts

  • Since Ryan Fitzpatrick came back in (2nd half vs Redskin, week 6) the Dolphins have actually outscored their opponents

  • This is the shortest the Colts have been under Frank Reich.

  • 3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS as favourites of 7+

  • You could make a case that the Dolphins have the better QB playing this week (Fitzpatrick vs Hoyer)

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Dolphins +12.5 @ $1.90 (Topsport, posted on Twitter)


Panthers @ Packers

  • The Packers have won 6 of their games by 1-13, the tied-most in the league (Seahawks & Saints)

  • 2 of the 3 Panthers losses this season have been by 1-13

  • The Packers are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games as home favourites

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Packers by 1-13 @ $2.50 (Ladbrokes)


Rams @ Steelers

  • Under is 34-23 in Steelers games when they are underdogs under Mike Tomlin,

  • 19-9 since 2012

  • Since 2018, Under is 9-4 in Rams road games

  • DVOA has both of these teams as a top 5 defence, and a bottom-half offence

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 43.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.96 (TopSport)


Player Props

1 Unit – Anytime Touchdown Scorer unless stated otherwise

  • Jamison Crowder – WR – NYJ @ $3.50 (Bet365/TopSport)

  • Mark Ingram – RB – BAL @ $1.85 (TAB)

  • 0.5u Devin Singletary – RB – BUF @ $3.10 (TAB)

  • Devin Singletary o65.5 Rush Yards @ $2.05 (Pointsbet)

  • Christian Kirk 75+ rec yards – WR – ARI @ $3 (TAB)

  • Michael Gallup – WR – DAL @ $3.60 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)

Odds are correct as of 21:35, Sunday, 10 November, 2019 AEDT. Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly.


NFL 2019 YTD: 68-65, +15.825u (10.55 ROI%)