The Trend BettorNFL Week 10
Lions @ Bears
7 of the 8 Lions games have been decided by 7 points or less (tied 2nd most in the league)
Since Matt Nagy started coaching Chicago, Chicago games have been decided by 7 points or less in 15 of the 26 (57.7%) of the time, tied for 6th most in the league
Recommended Bet: Either Team by Under 7.5 was a play until it was announced that Matt Stafford is now in doubt.
Bills @ Browns
Under is 15-5 in Bills road games under Sean McDermott
Average 37.6, Median 37, goes under by an average of 4.58 points
Under is 6-4 in Browns games with Baker Mayfield at home
Average 45.2, Median 45, goes under by an average of 1.00 points
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 41 @ $1.88 (better number is now available)
Ravens @ Bengals
Under is 31-8 in games since 2012 where the home team is underdogs of 10+ points or less
18-4 in divisional games
Under is 6-2 in Bengals game this season
Average 41.75, Median 41.5
Under is 39-31-2 in Ravens divisional games under John Harbaugh
Average 40.39, Median 39
Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Under 44.5 @ $1.99 (Topsport, posted on Twitter)
Cardinals @ Bucs
BTTS 20+ is 6-3 in Cardinals games this season
BTTS 20+ is 6-2 in Bucs games this season
6-0 last 6
Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $1.90 (TAB)
Chiefs @ Titans
Chiefs have won the tied-third most games by 1-13 since 2018 (11 times)
Titans have lost the tied-6th most games by 1-13 this season (4 times)
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Chiefs by 1-13 @ $2.40 (Ladbrokes/TAB)
Dolphins @ Colts
Since Ryan Fitzpatrick came back in (2nd half vs Redskin, week 6) the Dolphins have actually outscored their opponents
This is the shortest the Colts have been under Frank Reich.
3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS as favourites of 7+
You could make a case that the Dolphins have the better QB playing this week (Fitzpatrick vs Hoyer)
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Dolphins +12.5 @ $1.90 (Topsport, posted on Twitter)
Panthers @ Packers
The Packers have won 6 of their games by 1-13, the tied-most in the league (Seahawks & Saints)
2 of the 3 Panthers losses this season have been by 1-13
The Packers are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games as home favourites
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Packers by 1-13 @ $2.50 (Ladbrokes)
Rams @ Steelers
Under is 34-23 in Steelers games when they are underdogs under Mike Tomlin,
19-9 since 2012
Since 2018, Under is 9-4 in Rams road games
DVOA has both of these teams as a top 5 defence, and a bottom-half offence
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 43.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.96 (TopSport)
Player Props
1 Unit – Anytime Touchdown Scorer unless stated otherwise
Jamison Crowder – WR – NYJ @ $3.50 (Bet365/TopSport)
Mark Ingram – RB – BAL @ $1.85 (TAB)
0.5u Devin Singletary – RB – BUF @ $3.10 (TAB)
Devin Singletary o65.5 Rush Yards @ $2.05 (Pointsbet)
Christian Kirk 75+ rec yards – WR – ARI @ $3 (TAB)
Michael Gallup – WR – DAL @ $3.60 (Sportsbet/Ladbrokes)
Odds are correct as of 21:35, Sunday, 10 November, 2019 AEDT. Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly.
NFL 2019 YTD: 68-65, +15.825u (10.55 ROI%)