The Trend BettorNFL Week 1
Seahawks @ Falcons
Falcons are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS as home underdogs under Dan Quinn
Falcons are 2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS against the Seahawks under Dan Quinn
3 of the 4 games have been decided by 7 points or less
17 of Seattle’s 27 road games since 2017 have been decided by 7 points or less
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Either Team by Under 7.5 Points @ $2.24 (Pointsbet)
Packers @ Vikings
Under is 15-3 in Vikings home divisional games under Mike Zimmer
Average total points 38.5, Median 33.5. Only 3 have gone over 44.5
Under is 8-2 in games between these two teams, since Mike Zimmer has been at the Vikings (2015)
Average total points 38.8, Median 35. Only 2 have gone over 44.5
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Under 45 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Topsport)
Colts @ Jaguars
Jags are 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS against the Colts since 2018
Underdogs of 8 or more in week 1 are 6-22 SU, 21-7 ATS since 2006
Home teams are 0-4 SU, 4-0 ATS. Losses of 4, 1, 2, 3 points
(Pwoaaahhh, here goes nothin'!)
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Jaguars +8 @ $1.99 (Topsport)
Chargers @ Bengals
Bengals ranked 30th in Defence (DVOA) in 2019
Chargers ranked 12th in Offence (DVOA) in 2019
Bengals conceded 22+ points in 6 of their 8 home games last season
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Chargers over 22 Team Total Points @ $1.95 (Pointsbet)
Bears @ Lions
3 of the 4 times these two teams have played eachother with their current coaches, have been decided by 7 points or less. (Other game was 12 points)
8 of the 12 divisional games that Matt Nagy has coached in have been decided by 7 points or less
4 of 6 on the road
6 of the 12 divisional games that Matt Patricia has coached in have been decided by 7 points or less
4 of 6 at home
11 of the 16 Lions games last season were decided by 7 points or less – tied most
9 of the 16 Bears games last season were decided by 7 points or less – tied 7th most
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Either Team by Under 7.5 Points @ $2.05 (Pointsbet)
Player Props – 1 Unit Anytime Touchdown (Unless Stated Otherwise)
Julian Edelman (Patriots) @ $3 (Ladbrokes/Sportsbet)
- Dolphins gave up the most rec TD’s to WR’s last season (27, next most 22).
- Reports say Cam and Edelman are clicking. Favourite receiver by all reports (shouldn’t be a surprise).
Todd Gurley (Falcons) @ $2.10 (Sportsbet/TAB)
- Seahawks conceded the 2nd most rushing TD’s to RB’s last season (18).
- Gurley has scored in his last 5 games vs Seahawks (11 total).
Josh Jacobs (Raiders) @ $1.80 (Ladbrokes)
- Panthers conceded the most TD’s to RB’s last season (30, next most 22).
Terry McLaurin (Washington) @ $3.10 (Sportsbet)
- Eagles conceded the tied-for-third most rec TD’s to WR’s last season (21).
- McLaurin scored in 6 of his 14 games last season (7 total).
Hayden Hurst (Falcons) Over 38.5 Rec Yards @ $1.88 (Most Books)
- Seahawks conceded the second most rec yards to TE’s last season (69 ypg).
- Seahawks conceded 39+ yards to 10 TE’s last season.
- Hurst, a TE brought in from the Ravens to replace Austin Hooper, has spent the summer having working workout sessions with QB Matt Ryan. Chemistry should be there early.
George Kittle (49ers) @ $1.90 (Most Books)
- Cardinals concede the most TD’s to TE’s last season (16, next most 10).
- 49ers TE’s scored 3 TD’s against the Cardinals in their two games last year.
Tyler Higbee (Rams) Over 45.5 Rec Yards @ $1.87 (Ladbrokes)
- Cowboys conceded the 3rd most rec yards to TE’s last season (63.5 ypg)
- Higbee had 111 yards vs Cowboys last season
Odds are correct as of 13:00 – 13th September 2020 (AEST). Odds are subject to change.
Enjoy your Monday morning!
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