NFL Week 1

Seahawks @ Falcons

  • Falcons are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS as home underdogs under Dan Quinn

  • Falcons are 2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS against the Seahawks under Dan Quinn

  • 3 of the 4 games have been decided by 7 points or less

  • 17 of Seattle’s 27 road games since 2017 have been decided by 7 points or less

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Either Team by Under 7.5 Points @ $2.24 (Pointsbet)

Packers @ Vikings

  • Under is 15-3 in Vikings home divisional games under Mike Zimmer

  • Average total points 38.5, Median 33.5. Only 3 have gone over 44.5

  • Under is 8-2 in games between these two teams, since Mike Zimmer has been at the Vikings (2015)

  • Average total points 38.8, Median 35. Only 2 have gone over 44.5

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Under 45 Total Points Scored @ $1.92 (Topsport)

Colts @ Jaguars

  • Jags are 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS against the Colts since 2018

  • Underdogs of 8 or more in week 1 are 6-22 SU, 21-7 ATS since 2006

  • Home teams are 0-4 SU, 4-0 ATS. Losses of 4, 1, 2, 3 points

(Pwoaaahhh, here goes nothin'!)

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Jaguars +8 @ $1.99 (Topsport)

Chargers @ Bengals

  • Bengals ranked 30th in Defence (DVOA) in 2019

  • Chargers ranked 12th in Offence (DVOA) in 2019

  • Bengals conceded 22+ points in 6 of their 8 home games last season

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Chargers over 22 Team Total Points @ $1.95 (Pointsbet)

Bears @ Lions

  • 3 of the 4 times these two teams have played eachother with their current coaches, have been decided by 7 points or less. (Other game was 12 points)

  • 8 of the 12 divisional games that Matt Nagy has coached in have been decided by 7 points or less

  • 4 of 6 on the road

  • 6 of the 12 divisional games that Matt Patricia has coached in have been decided by 7 points or less

  • 4 of 6 at home

  • 11 of the 16 Lions games last season were decided by 7 points or less – tied most

  • 9 of the 16 Bears games last season were decided by 7 points or less – tied 7th most

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Either Team by Under 7.5 Points @ $2.05 (Pointsbet)

Player Props – 1 Unit Anytime Touchdown (Unless Stated Otherwise)

Julian Edelman (Patriots) @ $3 (Ladbrokes/Sportsbet)

- Dolphins gave up the most rec TD’s to WR’s last season (27, next most 22).

- Reports say Cam and Edelman are clicking. Favourite receiver by all reports (shouldn’t be a surprise).

Todd Gurley (Falcons) @ $2.10 (Sportsbet/TAB)

- Seahawks conceded the 2nd most rushing TD’s to RB’s last season (18).

- Gurley has scored in his last 5 games vs Seahawks (11 total).

Josh Jacobs (Raiders) @ $1.80 (Ladbrokes)

- Panthers conceded the most TD’s to RB’s last season (30, next most 22).

Terry McLaurin (Washington) @ $3.10 (Sportsbet)

- Eagles conceded the tied-for-third most rec TD’s to WR’s last season (21).

- McLaurin scored in 6 of his 14 games last season (7 total).

Hayden Hurst (Falcons) Over 38.5 Rec Yards @ $1.88 (Most Books)

- Seahawks conceded the second most rec yards to TE’s last season (69 ypg).

- Seahawks conceded 39+ yards to 10 TE’s last season.

- Hurst, a TE brought in from the Ravens to replace Austin Hooper, has spent the summer having working workout sessions with QB Matt Ryan. Chemistry should be there early.

George Kittle (49ers) @ $1.90 (Most Books)

- Cardinals concede the most TD’s to TE’s last season (16, next most 10).

- 49ers TE’s scored 3 TD’s against the Cardinals in their two games last year.

Tyler Higbee (Rams) Over 45.5 Rec Yards @ $1.87 (Ladbrokes)

- Cowboys conceded the 3rd most rec yards to TE’s last season (63.5 ypg)

- Higbee had 111 yards vs Cowboys last season

Odds are correct as of 13:00 – 13th September 2020 (AEST). Odds are subject to change.

Enjoy your Monday morning!


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