The Trend BettorNFL Divisional Round
(If you would like to support The Trend Bettor, please feel free to donate via the link below. All donations, no matter how big or how small, are greatly appreciated.) https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/TheTrendBettorPtyLtd
Rams @ Packers
Packers have scored 20+ on 15 of their 16 games this season
BTTS 20+ is 9-7 this season
Rams have scored 20+ on 12 occasions this season
BTTS 20+ is 6-11 this season
Since their Super Bowl loss, The Rams are 3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS as road underdogs
Over is 6-1
BTTS is 5-2 in these games
Tossing up between three bets:
Rams +6.5, ETU 10.5, and BTTS 20+
BTTS 20+ is 8-9 in Packers home games under Matt LeFleur
Packers have scored 20+ in all 17 games
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $2.25 (Sportsbet)
Ravens @ Bills
Bills are 8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS at home this season
7 of the wins by 1-11 points
So….. I came into this game liking the Bills, but…
Since Lamar Jackson’s first start in Week 11, 2018 the Ravens are 5-3 SU, 7-0-1 ATS as underdogs
Ravens team total OVER is 7-0 when Jackson plays (didn’t play vs Steelers (COVID))
Opposing team total UNDER is 7-1
Game Total OVER is 4-4
Mode says: Bills by 3.5. But I’m going to stay away from this and just enjoy it. Will have a prop in this game though.
Two player props posted below
Browns @ Chiefs
In 6 of Cleveland’s 17 games this season, both teams have scored 30+
Most in the league
Chiefs 3 – Tied 7th
BTTS 30+ has hit in 4 of the 9 Browns road games this season
In 2 of the 5 playoff games Mahomes has played in, both teams to have scored 30+
Minus Week 17 (No Mahomes), the Chiefs were 6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS at home
5 wins by 1-17
With Mahomes at QB, the Chiefs were 14-1 SU, 7-8 ATS in totals
All of the last 7 games were won by 1-7 points
12 of the 14 wins were by 1-14
Recommended Bets:
1.5 Units – Chiefs 1-17 @ $1.96 (Pointsbet SGM)
0.5 Units – Both Teams to Score 30+ @ $4.50 (Sportsbet)
Bucs @ Saints
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 Saints playoff games
Under by an average of 11.5
These two teams have played twice this season, and have generally struggled to move the ball
Amassing 1195 total yards, 298.75 yards averaged per team
8 turnovers have contributed to a lot of points
Bucs are 2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS against teams who made the playoffs, this season
Under is 4-3
Saints are 8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games
Saints are 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS against NFC South rivals this season
Wins of 34-23 and 38-3 against the Bucs
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Saints +3/Under 58 @ $1.91 (Pointsbet)
Player Props
1.5 Units - Cam Akers (Rams) Over 88.5 Rush+Rec Yards @ $1.88 (TAB)
Packers concede 91.6 rush yards (mid-rank), 1.2 touchdowns (4th most), and the third most receiving yards against RB’s.
Akers is well and truly the lead back in LA, right now
15+ rushing attempts in all of his last 5 games
Akers averages 122.2 total yards in his last 5 games
1.5 Units – Mark Andrews (Ravens) Over 55.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.88 (Ladbrokes)
Doubling down after last week. Andrews was in the top 2 in team targets last week against the Titans, but feel a touch short on his yardage. He has another favourable matchup this week.
Bills concede the 2nd most receiving yards to TE’s in the league (62.1).
Mark Andrews has the most targets per game for the Ravens.
Bills conceded 136 receiving yards to Tight Ends last week vs the Colts.
1.5 Units – Lamar Jackson Over 75.5 Rush Yards @ $1.87 (Pointsbet)
Jackson averages 92.83 rushing yards in games in which the Ravens DON’T win by 14+ points, and 58.4 in games in which they DO win by 14+. I’m not too worried about the Ravens slipping back into 2nd gear - after all, it is the playoffs – so I expect to see Jackson put his body on the line in another do or die clash.
Jackson averages 111 rushing yards in his 3 playoff games.
It’s expected to be cold/windy, and maybe snowing. I LOVE this play even more if it’s snowing. Jackson is already hard to catch, I can’t imagine it being easier to catch him in slippery conditions.
1.5 Units – Tyreek Hill over 82.5 Receiving Yards & TD @ $2.75 (Sportsbet SGM)
Browns have conceded 83+ rec yards & a TD to 8 WR’s this season (9 games). That’s almost 1 a game…
Hill had 83+ & TD in 8 of his 15 games this season
1 Unit – Jared Cook Over 29.5 Receiving Yards @ $1.87 (Pointsbet)
0.5 Units – Jared Cook Anytime TD @ $3.60 (Sportsbet)
I’m going back to the well again this season
Has had 28+ in each of his last 6 games
30+ in 4
Had 80 and 30 yards in his two games against the Bucs this season
Bucs have conceded 30+ receiving yards to 11 Tight Ends this season
Bucs have conceded the 7th most touchdowns to Tight Ends this season (9)
Odds are correct as of 15:05 Saturday 16th of January 2021 (AEDT). Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly!