Vikings @ 49ers
Since Week 10, Both Teams to Score 20+ has hit in 6 of the 8 49ers games.
Since Week 9, Either Team to Win by Under 7.5 Points has hit in 7 of the 9 49ers games. Tied for the most in the league.
Since Week 7, Both Teams to Score 20+ has hit in 5 of the Vikings 6 Road games.
Deebo Samuel has caught a pass of 23+ yards or more in 6 of his last 8 games.
1 Unit - Both Teams to Score 20+ @ $2.82 (Pointsbet)
1 Unit – Deebo Samuel’s longest reception over 22.5 @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)
Titans @ Ravens
I’m staying away from this game, except for one player prop.
The Titans have conceded the equal-fourth most touchdowns to Tight Ends this season (9).
Mark Andrews (TE) is the most targeted Ravens player in the Red Zone this season.
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Mark Andrews – Anytime Touchdown @ $2.40 (Multiple Books)
Texans @ Chiefs
I’m staying away from this game, except for a couple of player props.
I think this is probably the hardest game of the week to find value. I initially liked the “under 51” but 7 of the 8 Texans games have landed within a touchdown, either side of the number. In fact, on average, the absolute value of O/U margin in Texans road games is only 6.0 – the lowest in the league for road games. In terms of home teams, the Chiefs have the 7th lowest absolute value of O/U margin in home games this season. My guess would be that it falls between the 44-54 range.
The Texans concede the 8th most explosive passing plays in the league (20+ yard passes), averaging 3.63 a game. This is a great matchup for arguably the most explosive receiver in the game – Tyreek Hill.
The more important the game, the more DeShaun Watson carries the load. Watson has played two career playoff games, and has run for 76 and 55 yards. Small sample size, but this is well up from his career average of 32.4 yards per game. We often saw this from Russell Wilson earlier in his career, we now see it with DeShaun Watson.
1 Unit – Tyreek Hill - Anytime Touchdown @ $1.91 (Sportsbet)
1 Unit – DeShaun Watson Over 32.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)
0.5 Units – DeShaun Watson Anytime Touchdown Scorer @ $4 (Sportsbet)
Seahawks @ Packers
Seahawks are 7-7 SU, 10-3-1 ATS as underdogs since 2018.
11 of the games have been decided by under 7.5 points.
Packers have been favoured by 7 points or less at home on 7 occasions, they are 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS.
Remember when Seattle were a horrible road team? Well, this year they’re 8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS. 5 of their games have been decided by 7 points or less, with another 2 decided by 8.
Green Bay have given up the equal-fourth most rushing touchdowns to Running Backs this season (15), and Seattle have given up the 2nd most (18).
Aaron Jones has scored a touchdown in 7 of his 8 home games this season.
Marshawn Lynch has hardly been spectacular since coming back from retirement, but he has managed to find the end zone in both of his games.
1.5 Units – Either Team by Under 7.5 Points @ $2.14 (Pointsbet)
1 Unit – Both Lynch and Jones to Score a Touchdown @ $4.33 (Sportsbet SGM*)
*Better odds can be found in the Bets on Tap Section ($4.50) or Odds Boost of $4.80
Odds are correct as of 15:15, Saturday the 11th of January, 2020. Odds are subject to change.