AFL Round 8, 2019

Sydney v Essendon

Sydney is 1-6 SU, 1-6 ATS, 4-3 Over in 2019

Essendon is 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, 1-6 Over in 2019

  • Sydney is 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS against Essendon since 2017

  • Sydney are 1-7 SU, 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games at the SCG

  • 5 losses have been by 1-39

  • Sydney are 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS in their last 5 games at the SCG as underdogs

  • Essendon are 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 interstate games

  • Under is 5-1

  • Biggest winning margin for Essendon in an interstate game under John Worsfold is 44 points

Recommended Bet: 1u Essendon 1-39 @ $2.10 (Ladbrokes)


Carlton v Collingwood

Carlton is 1-6 SU, 5-2 ATS, 3-4 Over in 2019

Collingwood is 5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 Over in 2019

  • Carlton are 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS against Collingwood under Brendon Bolton

  • Biggest margin each way is 24

  • Under is 3-2

  • Collingwood are 5-0 SU, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as 30+ point favourites

  • Carlton are 7-12 SU, 15-4 ATS in their 19 day games at the MCG under Brendon Bolton

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Carlton +38.5 @ $1.91 (Bet365)


Western Bulldogs v Brisbane

Western Bulldogs are 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, 1-6 Over in 2019

Brisbane are 5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 5-2 Over in 2019

  • Bulldogs are 3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS in their last three games against the Bulldogs

  • Margins of 32, 14, 14

  • Total game scores of 212, 192, 200

  • Bulldogs are 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS in their 3 games in Ballarat

  • Under is 2-1

  • Brisbane are 2-12 SU, 8-6 ATS in Victoria under Chris Fagan

Lean: Either Team by Under 24.5


Gold Coast v Melbourne

Gold Coast are 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 Over in 2019

Melbourne are 2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-4 Over in 2019

  • Melbourne beat Gold Coast by 69 and 96 points last season

  • Gold Coast are 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS in their last 4 home games

  • Under is 11-5 in the last 16 Gold Coast games at Metricon Stadium

  • Melbourne are 7-2 SU, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games outside of Melbourne

  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 matches between these two teams

Lean: Melbourne 1-39


St Kilda v West Coast

St Kilda are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS, 1-6 Over in 2019

West Coast are 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS, 2-5 Over in 2019

  • West Coast are 2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games against St Kilda

  • Average total game points in West Coast games this year is 150. Median = 150

  • Average total game points in St Kilda games this year is 156. Median = 150

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 St Kilda games at Marvel against interstate sides

  • Under is 20-10 in West Coast games played in Victoria under Adam Simpson

Official Play: Posted on Twitter on Game Day


Port Adelaide v Adelaide

Port Adelaide are 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS, 4-3 Over in 2019

Adelaide are 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 2-5 Over in 2019

  • Adelaide are 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS in their 6 Showdowns under Don Pyke

  • Over is 11-3 in the last 14 Showdowns

  • Lowest scoring game = 174 points

Official Play: Posted on Twitter on Game Day


North Melbourne v Geelong

North Melbourne are 2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 Over in 2019

Geelong are 6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS, 3-4 Over in 2019

  • Geelong are 3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games against North Melbourne

  • Margins of 31, 1, 37

  • Geelong are 6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS in their last 9 games at Marvel

  • 4 of the wins have been 1-39

  • Over is 9-2 in the last 11 Geelong games at Marvel Stadium

  • Average = 194, Median = 194

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 games between these two sides played at Marvel Stadium

Official Play: Posted on Twitter on Game Day


Hawthorn v GWS

Hawthorn are 3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-5 Over in 2019

GWS are 5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 Over in 2019

  • Hawthorn are 0-3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS against GWS since 2015

  • Over is 4-0

  • GWS are 2-9 SU, 5-6 ATS at the MCG under Leon Cameron

  • Under is 9-2

  • Hawthorn are 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS as underdogs against interstate sides at the MCG since 2016

Lean: GWS 1-39


Fremantle v Richmond

Fremantle are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS, 2-5 Over in 2019

Richmond are 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 Over in 2019

  • Fremantle are 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Richmond

  • 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS in Perth

  • Fremantle are 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS in their last 10 home games against interstate sides

  • Richmond are 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS in their last 6 interstate games

Lean: Either Team by Under 24

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