AFL Round 7, 2019

AFL Round 7


Collingwood v Port Adelaide

Collingwood are 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 Over in 2019

Port Adelaide are 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 Over in 2019

  • Collingwood are 1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games against Port Adelaide

  • Collingwood are 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at Marvel Stadium

  • Port Adelaide are 6-3 SU, 7-2 ATS in their last 8 games as 15+ point underdogs

  • Average total game points scored in Port Adelaide games at Marvel Stadium under Ken Hinkley is 199. Min = 171, max = 245

  • Under is 8-4 in the last 12 Collingwood games at Marvel

  • Average = 168, median = 170

Recommended Bet: 1 unit – Over 166.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.90 (Unibet)


GWS Giants v St Kilda

GWS are 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 Over in 2019

St Kilda are 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 0-6 Over in 2019

  • GWS are 4-1-1 SU, 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against St Kilda

  • Under is 4-2

  • GWS are 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS in their 16 games in Canberra since 2015

  • Under is 8-5

  • lost 82-106 last time to Fremantle, Round 5.

  • St Kilda are 1-20 SU, 9-12 ATS in their last 21 games outside of Melbourne as underdogs

  • 7 of the last 8 have been 1-39 losses

  • Under is 17-4

Recommended Bet: 1.5 units – Under 163.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.90 (Unitbet/TopSport)


Melbourne v Hawthorn

Melbourne are 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS, 3-3 Over in 2019

Hawthorn are 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 Over in 2019

  • Melbourne are 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS against Hawthorn, under Simon Goodwin

  • Melbourne average 69.33 team total points this season, median = 58

  • Hawthorn average 77 team total points conceded as favourites at the MCG since 2018, median = 71

Recommended Bet: 1 unit – Melbourne under 78.5 Team Total Points @ $1.91 (Bet365)


Brisbane v Sydney

Brisbane are 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 Over in 2019

Sydney are 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS, 3-3 Over in 2019

  • John Longmire is 9-0 SU, 7-2 ATS against the Brisbane Lions

  • Sydney are 10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS in away games since 2018, compared to 5-10 SU, 3-12 ATS in home games

  • Brisbane are 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS as home favourites under Chris Fagan

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Sydney +18.5 @ $1.90 (Pointsbet)


Western Bulldogs v Richmond

Western Bulldogs are 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, 1-5 Over in 2019

Richmond are 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 Over in 2019

  • Richmond are 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games against the Bulldogs

  • Biggest margin either way is 19 points

  • Richmond are 6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games at Marvel

  • Western Bulldogs are 5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games at Marvel

  • 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS as underdogs

Recommended Bets: 1.5 Units – Either Team by Under 24.5 @ $1.83 (Sportsbet)


West Coast v Gold Coast

West Coast are 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 Over in 2019

Gold Coast are 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 2-4 Over in 2019

  • West Coast are 15-0-1 SU, 12-4 ATS as 40+ point favourites under Adam Simpson

  • Gold Coast are 1-9 SU, 5-5 ATS as 40+ point underdogs under Stuart Dew

Recommended Bet: No play


Carlton v North Melbourne

Carlton are 1-5 SU, 5-1 ATS, 2-4 Over in 2019

North Melbourne are 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 Over in 2019

  • Carlton are 0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS in against North Melbourne under Brendon Bolton

  • Losses of 67, 17, 86

  • North Melbourne team totals are 113, 113, 116

  • Carlton are 1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at Marvel

  • North Melbourne are 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS in their last 4 games at Marvel

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – North Melbourne -9.5 @ $1.91 (Bet365)


Geelong v Essendon

Geelong are 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 3-3 Over in 2019

Essendon are 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS, 1-5 Over in 2019

  • Geelong are 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS in their last 2 games against Essendon

  • Essendon are 2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Melbourne as underdogs

  • All 5 games by 18 points or less

  • Geelong are 4-5 SU, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as favourites at the MCG

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Essendon +14.5 @ $1.91 (Bet365)


Adelaide v Fremantle

Adelaide are 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 2-4 Over in 2019

Fremantle are 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-4 Over in 2019

  • Adelaide are 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games against Fremantle

  • Fremantle average 63.2 team points. Median = 68. High = 71

  • Under is 3-2

  • Under is 8-4 in the last 12 games at where Adelaide are favourites of 20+ at Adelaide Oval

  • Fremantle are 1-6 SU, 1-6 ATS in their 7 games at Adelaide Oval

  • Average 60 team total points. Median = 60. High = 76

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Fremantle Under 71.5 Total Team Points @ $1.91 (Bet365)

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