AFL Round 3 - Adelaide v Gold Coast

I'm not really looking at trends here, as we’ve only got 18 games to look at under Matthew Nicks for Adelaide. The Crows seem to be much improved than last year too, so looking at last year would largely irrelevant, here, I feel.


Player Props

  • Despite being a respectable 1-1 this season, the Suns give up the most DT points to backs, and to top-3 backs after 2 rounds.

  • 98 DT to top 3 backs

  • The Suns have conceded 72+ to 9 backs through 2 games

  • Hurn 129, Barrass 103, Cole 87, J McGovern 78, Sheppard 77, Atley 105, Corr 83, Ziebell 82.

  • Tom Doedee’s form line is okay without being great – averaging 69.5 points in his 2 games, but I think it’s important to take note of the teams that he’s played.

  • 74 against Sydney

  • 65 against Geelong

  • Geelong concede the least disposals and the least uncontested possessions, as they did in 2020.

  • Sydney concede the 2nd least in these categories, but not looking too much into this as 50% of their games are against Adelaide.

  • Averaging 69.5 against the two stingiest teams, I’d expect Doedee to fly past his 71.5.

Recommended Bet: 1.25 Units – Tom Doedee Over 71.5 DT Points @ $1.88 (Pointsbet) – 1.87 on SB.


Odds are correct as of Friday 17:00 - 2nd April 2021 (AEDT). Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.