The Trend BettorAFL Round 3
Richmond v Hawthorn
Richmond are 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS against Hawthorn since 2017
Winning margins of 29, 13, 31, and 36
Under is 9-3 when these two teams play, since Hardwick has been the Richmond coach
Richmond are 45-5-1 SU, 35-12 ATS at the MCG since 2017
29 wins by 1-39
Hawthorn are 12-9 SU, 11-10 ATS at the MCG since 2018
Each of the last 14 games have been decided by 39 points or under
Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Richmond by -8.5 @ $2.00 (Ladbrokes) – Posted on Wednesday Night*
Western Bulldogs v GWS
Western Bulldogs are 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS against GWS since their 2016 PF
Margins of -2, -48, -82, +61, -58
GWS are 2-3-1 SU, 2-4 ATS at Marvel Stadium since 2017
Under is 4-2. Average 166, Median 155
Under is 16-4 in Bulldogs games at Marvel Stadium where they are underdogs
Average 160, Median 159
Under is 11-4 in GWS games away from NSW/ACT sine 2019
Average 151, Median 154
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Under 137.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.91 (Bet365)
North Melbourne v Sydney
North Melbourne are 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS against Sydney since 2016
Margins of -26, -9, -42, +2, -6, -5
Sydney are 8-9 SU, 12-5 ATS in games as underdogs away from the SCG since 2018
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Sydney +10.5 @ $2.00 (Ladbrokes)
Collingwood v St Kilda
Collingwood are 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS against St Kilda since 2016
Collingwood are 9-5 SU, 5-9 ATS as favourites at the MCG since 2019
Under Brett Ratten, St Kilda are 3-3 SU, 5-1 ATS as underdogs
Our model tells us that St Kilda have been these 2nd most dominant team this season. Collingwood 3rd.
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – St Kilda +15.5 @ $2.00 (Ladbrokes)
Brisbane v West Coast
West Coast are 8-8 SU, 10-6 ATS as underdogs since 2018
Overrated? Brisbane are 4-4 SU, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games
Brisbane are 5-1 SU, 1-4 ATS in their last 6 games as favourites
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – West Coast +3.5 @ $1.91 (Bet365/BetEasy)
Geelong v Carlton
Geelong’s opposition team total over/under is 3-5 in night games at GMHBA Stadium since 2018
Average 51, Median 46.5
Carlton have averaged 63 team total points in games played outside of Melbourne since 2018
Median 61
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Carlton Team Total - Under 52.5 @ $1.85 (Ladbrokes)
Odds are correct as of 11:25, 18th of June 2020 AEST. Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly.