AFL Round 22, Sat-Sun
Carlton v St Kilda
Carlton are 8-15 SU, 17-6 ATS in day games at the MCG since 2016
13 losses by 1-39
St Kilda are 5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS at the MCG since 2015
all wins by 40 or under
Carlton are 5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS under David Teague
St Kilda are 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS under Brett Ratten
St Kilda are 5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS against Carlton since 2016
3 wins by 1-39
Recommended Bet: 1.5u – St Kilda by 1-39 @ $2.40 (Ladbrokes)
Brisbane v Geelong
Brisbane are 9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS at the Gabba
Geelong are 7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games
Geelong are 2-3-1 SU, 3-3 ATS in interstate games as underdogs
Recommended Bet: 1.5u – Brisbane -4.5 @ $1.91 (Pointsbet)
Adelaide v Collingwood
Adelaide are 3-4 SU, 1-6 ATS at Adelaide oval where they are not favourites by 24.5 points or more, in 2019
6 of the 7 games decided by 24 points or less
Collingwood are 7-10 SU, 13-4 ATS as true road underdogs since 2015
10 games have been decided by 24 points or less
Collingwood are 1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS at Adelaide Oval since 2019
Recommended Bet: 1u – Collingwood +8.5 @ $1.91 (Multiple Books)
North Melbourne v Port Adelaide
Port Adelaide are 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS in true away games this season
This is their first game as favourites
Port Adelaide are 3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS at Marvel Stadium since 2016
1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS as favourites
North Melbourne are 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS under Rhys Shaw
3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS as underdogs at Marvel Stadium
Recommended Bet: 1u – North Melbourne ML @ $2.10 (Multiple Books)
Fremantle v Essendon
Fremantle are 7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS at Optus Stadium against interstate sides this season
6 wins by 1-39
Essendon are 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS in interstate games this season
Essendon are 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS at Optus Stadium
Both losses by 1-39
Recommended Bet: 1u – Fremantle 1-39 @ $2.23 (TopSport)
Richmond v West Coast
Richmond are 1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS against the Eagles since 2015
1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS at the MCG
Richmond have not conceded over 70 points in their last 7 games
West Coast have conceded a maximum of 76 points in their 5 games at the MCG since 2018
The Eagles are 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS at the MCG since 2018
** Wet weather will suit Richmond more – I would’ve played Eagles ATS if it were dry
Recommended Bet: 1.5u – Neither Team to Score 90+ @ $1.85 (TAB)
GWS v Western Bulldogs
No Bet
Hawthorn v Gold Coast
No Bet
Odds are correct as of the 17th of August, 2019, 06:50 AEST. Odds are subject to change.