AFL Round 11, 2019
Collingwood v Fremantle
Collingwood are 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against the Dockers
2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS at the MCG
Collingwood are 12-5 SU, 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as 20+ favourites at the MCG
8 wins by 1-39
Fremantle are 1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS away from Perth in 2019
Fremantle are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS at the MCG since 2015
Lean: Fremantle ATS
GWS Giants v Gold Coast
GWS are 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS at Giants Stadium in 2019
Suns are 1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS away from home this season
GWS have won by 102 & 108 in their last two games against the Suns
Lean – GWS ATS
Geelong v Sydney
Geelong are 3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS against Sydney since 2014
Sydney are 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games at GMHBA Stadium
Under is 5-1 6 games between these two teams in Geelong
Geelong are 6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at GMHBA Stadium
Lean: Under 159.5 Total Points Scored
Brisbane v Hawthorn
Brisbane are 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS against Hawthorn under Chris Fagan
Brisbane are 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS at home in 2019
Hawthorn are 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 interstate games (TAS. Excluded)
Hawthorn are 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs
Brisbane are 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS as favourites in 2019
Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Brisbane -8.5 @ $1.95 (Pointsbet)
Melbourne v Adelaide
Melbourne are 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against Adelaide
Under is 9-3 in Adelaide and Melbourne games combined, since Round 5
Average = 148, Median = 155
Under is 7-4 in the last 11 night games at TIO Stadium
Recommended Bet: 2 Units – Under 162.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.90 (TopSport)
St Kilda v Port Adelaide
St Kilda are 0-4 SU, 3-1 ATS against Port Adelaide under Alan Richardson
All at Adelaide Oval
Under is 3-1
Under is 2-0 in the two games in Shanghai
Under is 13-7 in the 20 games involving Port / St Kilda this season
Average = 158, Median = 157.5
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Under 158.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.90 (TopSport)
Essendon v Carlton
Essendon are 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS against Carlton since 2016
Biggest margin each way is 24
Carlton are 7-13 SU, 16-4 ATS in day games at the MCG under Brendon Bolton
18 have been decided by under 24.5
Essendon are 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS in their 5 games as favourites at the MCG under John Worsfold
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Carlton +16.5 @ $1.91 (Bet365)
West Coast v Western Bulldogs
West Coast are 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS against the Bulldogs since 2017
Western Bulldogs are 0-11 SU, 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs in games played outside of Melbourne
West Coast are 4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS at Optus Stadium in 2019
Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – West Coast -22.5 @ $1.91 (Bet365)