AFL Round 1 - Richmond v Carlton

(If you would like to support The Trend Bettor, please feel free to donate via the link below. All donations, no matter how big or how small, are greatly appreciated.) https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/TheTrendBettorPtyLtd

  • Richmond are 10-0 SU, 6-4 ATS against Carlton since 2014

  • 9 wins by 1-39, 1 by 43

  • In Round 1 games between these two teams since 2014, the Over is 5-1

  • Average total 190, Median 185, Average +/- of total = +21.33

  • Since 2017, Richmond are 42-6-1 SU, 35-24 ATS

  • 23 wins by 1-39

  • Since 2017, Richmond are 23-0 SU, 14-9 ATS as 20+ favourites

  • 15 wins by 1-39

  • Under David Teague, Carlton are 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS at the MCG

  • Under David Teague, Carlton are 13-15 SU, 16-12 ATS

  • Only 1 loss of over 31 points

Recommended Bet: 1.25 Unit – Richmond 1-39 @ $2.10 (Ladbrokes/Sportsbet)


Player Prop

  • Richmond conceded the 2nd most fantasy points to backs when only considering the top 3 scores from the backline, in the league in 2020.

  • 72 Average – 90 after scaling for shorter quarters in 2020.

  • This is nothing new to Richmond as they conceded the 5th most in 2019 with the same criteria, conceding an average of 88 to the oppositions top 3 back.

  • Sam Docherty had 95 fantasy points (119) vs Richmond in Round 1 last year.

Recommended Bet: 1.25 Units – Sam Docherty (Carlton) Over 86.5 DT Points @ $1.87 (Ladbrokes)


Odds are correct as of 14:10 - Thursday 18th March, 2021. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.