AFL Round 1 2019 - Sat/Sun
Melbourne vs Port Adelaide – MCG
Over was 8-5 in Melbourne games played at the MCG in 2018
7-3 in non-night games
Over was 21-14 in 35 non-night games at the MCG in 2018
Port Adelaide 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS at the MCG since 2016
Melbourne are 6-5 SU in their last 11 games as favourites by 20+ at the MCG.
Port Adelaide are 2-2 SU in their last 4 games as underdogs by 20+.
Recommended Bets:
0.5 Units - Over 180.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.91 (Bet365)
0.2 Units - Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $5.50 (Multiple Books)
Adelaide vs Hawthorn – Adelaide Oval
Over is 14-5 in Adelaide non-night games at Adelaide Oval since 2015
Over in the first game of the year at Adelaide Oval is 4-1.
Home teams in Round 1 games at Adelaide Oval are 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS
Average Team Total Points = 132.5, Median = 136.5
Hawthorn are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS in their 7 games at Adelaide Oval
3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS against Adelaide
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit Both Teams to Score 79+ Points @ $1.89 (Bet365)
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney
Over is 13-3 in the last 16 Sydney games at Marvel Stadium
Sydney are 15-3 SU, 13-5 ATS in their last 15 games at Marvel Stadium
3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS in 2018
Western Bulldogs are 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS against Sydney since 2015
2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS in Melbourne
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 games between these two sides
Lean: Sydney 1-39 @ $2.25 (Pointsbet)
Brisbane vs West Coast
Brisbane were 2-9 SU, 4-7 ATS at the Gabba in 2018
1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS as underdogs
All but one loss was 1-39
Brisbane are 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS in their first game at the Gabba for the season
Last 6 losses have been 1-39
West Coast are 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Brisbane
5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS at the Gabba. 3 by 1-39
West Coast were 9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS away from WA in 2018. 8 wins by 1-39
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – West Coast 1-39 @ $2.40 (Sportsbet)
St Kilda vs Gold Coast
St Kilda are 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS as favourites against interstate sides at Marvel Stadium under Alan Richardson
Average team total = 111, Median = 107.
Gold Coast are 2-3 SU, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at Marvel Stadium.
Sorry, do I really have to do the rest of this game? Not much to look at here.
Lean: St Kilda Team Total Over 102.5 @ $1.89 (Bet365)
GWS Giants vs Essendon
GWS are 12-4-1 SU, 4-13 ATS at Spotless Stadium since 2017
9 of the wins by 1-39
1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS against Essendon
GWS are 3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS against Essendon since 2015
All 3 wins have been by 1-39
Essendon went 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS in interstate matches in 2018
Recommended Bet: 1 unit – Either Team by Under 24.5 Points @ $1.83 (Sportsbet)
Fremantle vs North Melbourne
Fremantle are 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS against North Melbourne since 2015
Fremantle went 7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS at Optus Stadium against non-WA teams in 2018
Conceded over 90.5 twice
North Melbourne were 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS in away interstate matches in 2018
Average team total points = 73.8, Median, 66.
Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – North Melbourne Team Total Points U90.5 @ $1.85 (Sportsbet)