AFL/NRL - 27/06/20

Port Adelaide v West Coast

• Under is 7-2 when these two teams play each other, since 2014.

• Average 159, Median 154

Recommended Bet: 1 Unit – Under 133.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.91 (Bet365)

St Kilda v Richmond

• Jonathan Marsh (St Kilda forward) has had the job of stopping their opponents’ most dangerous rebounding defender. In the last two weeks, Marsh has kept Jason Johannisen to 14, and Jeremy Howe to 18 disposals – both season low for these players. The obvious match-up would be Bachar Houli, here. I’d be looking to fade him here in both betting and DFS.

Recommended Bet: 1.5 Units – Bachar Houli Under 23.5 Disposals @ $1.87 (Ladbrokes)

• Essendon v Carlton

• Under is 3-1 in games between these two teams since 2017.

• Average 134, Median 134

• Under is 32-15 in night games at the MCG since 2017

• Average 155, Median 155

• Under is 21-4 in winter night games at the MCG since 2015

• Average 142, Median 141

• Marc Murphy attended 66% of Carlton’s centre bounce attendances in Round 1, and 58% in Round 2. This drastically dropped to 4% in their Round 3 win against Geelong. Conversely, Jack Martin went from 9% to 16% to 78%. With Carlton looking fantastic last weekend, expect more of the same. Number of disposals should reflect their exposure to the footy.

Recommended Bets:

- 2 Units – Under 130.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.91 posted on Wednesday night.

- 1.5 Units – Marc Murphy Under 20.5 Disposals @ $1.97 (TopSport)

- 0.5 Units – Jack Martin Group B Disposals (Cutler, Langford, Parish, D.Smith, SPS, Walsh, K Simpson) @ $10 (Ladbrokes)

Eels vs Raiders (NRL)

• Under is 5-1 in Eels games this season

• Average 32.83, Median 34.5

• Under is 5-1 in Raiders games this season

• Average 29.33, Median 27

• Under is 8-1 in Raiders games played away from GIO Stadium.

• Average 28.77, Median 26

• The last 3 games between these two teams have played has been Under.

• Total points of 20, 19, 38.

Recommended Bets:

- 1.5 Units - Under 36.5 Total Points Scored @ 1.84 (BetEasy)

- 0.5 Units – Neither Team to Score 20 @ $3.50 (BetEasy)

Odds are correct as of 12:45, Saturday 27th of June 2020. Odds are subject to change. Gamble responsibly.