AFL Grand Final - 2019

2019 AFL Grand Final – Richmond v GWS


Head to Head:

  • Richmond are 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS against GWS since 2017

  • 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS at the MCG

  • Under is 3-3 between these two teams since 2017

  • 1-2 at the MCG

Venue

Richmond

  • Richmond are 12-2 SU, 10-4 ATS at the MCG in 2019

  • Under is 9-5 in Richmond games at the MCG in 2019

  • Neither team has scored 90 points in each of Richmond’s last 4 games at the MCG

  • Richmond are 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS in their 4 games against interstate sides at the MCG in 2019

  • Neither Team has scored 90+ in two of these games

GWS

  • GWS are 3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS at the MCG since 2015

  • Under is 9-3 in the 12 Giants games at the MCG since 2015

  • Neither team has scored 90+ in 6 of the games

  • GWS are 6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS as underdogs away from NSW/ACT since 2018

  • Every time they’ve covered, they’ve won SU

  • Under is 11-3 in GWS games as underdogs away from NSW/ACT since 2018

  • Neither team has scored 90+ in 8 of the 14 games

Grand Finals:

  • Since 2013, Underdogs are 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS in Grand Finals

  • In the last 9 Grand Finals, whoever has covered the spread, has won the game SU

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 Grand Finals

  • Neither team has scored 90+ in 3 of these games

  • Neither team has gone wire-to-wire in 8 of the last 12 Grand Finals


Recommended Bets:

- 1.5 Units – Neither Team to Score 90+ @ $2 (TAB)

- 0.5 Units – Neither Team to go wire-to-wire @ $2.10 (Sportsbet/Pointsbet)


Norm Smith Medal Bets:

- 0.5 Units – Recycled Player (Prestia, Houli, Lynch, Caddy, Davis, Shaw, De Boer, Mumford, Reid) to win Norm Smith Medal @ $4.25 (BetEasy)


- 0.1 Units – Shane Edwards to win Norm Smith Medal @ $17 (Pointsbet/Ladbrokes)


- 0.1 Units – Lachie Whitfield to win Norm Smith Medal @ $17 (Multiple Books)


- 0.25 Units on Prestia @ $4.25 (Bet365), Edwards @ $6 (Bet365), Whitfield @ $6 (Bet365) to come top 3 in Norm Smith


- 0.1 Units - De Boer @ $17 (Bet365), Perryman @ $41 (BetEasy) to come top 3 in North Smith


It’s been a very ugly 2019 for myself personally in regards to betting on the footy.

With one game to go, we are sitting on 103-133, -28.48 Units @ -10.12%, a massive fall from last year’s 109-87, +59.83 Units @ +20.21%.


Am I happy with the results? Of course not… but if you expect to win in every sport in any given time frame, quit kidding yourself. Gambling ain't meant to be easy. "Am you broke, yet?" trolls have asked this season. Well, no, no I'm not. I like to look at things half full. And the way I see it, is that I have profited over 80+ units doing what I've been doing for the past two years. Like i said, it's all about the long game, it ain't always going to be smooth sailing.


I’m not even going to promise that I’ll improve next season, but I sure hope so, as this was my worst season of any sport… ever. Even though I won’t promise anything monetarily-speaking, I’ll be doing everything I can to turn it around. That’s my promise.


Regardless of the profit (or lack thereof this season), I still love doing what I do - sharing historical trends and views that I obtain while trying to win a bet or two, meanwhile also exchanging ideas, thoughts, and views about anything sport related with some likeminded people on Social Media. So to those who make it all worth while, I say thank you!


Enjoy the game!

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