AFL Elimination Finals - 2020
St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Games involving St Kilda, have been the 2nd highest scoring games in the league in 2020. Western Bulldogs 3rd.
Over is 11-7 in Elimination Finals since 2011
Average O/U Margin = +3.84 points
Over is 7-1 in Elimination Finals played in the afternoon/twilight (Prior to 5pm local) since 2011
Average O/U Margin = +14.5 points
Jack Billings last three games against the Bulldogs
2020: 112 DT Points
2019: 110 DT Points (88 after weighting)
2018: 122 DT Points (97.6)
Recommended Bets:
- 1.5 Units – Over 123.5 Total Points Scored @ $1.95 (Topsport)
- 1.5 Units – Jack Billings Over 68.5 DT Points @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)
West Coast v Collingwood
West Coast are 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS against Collingwood since 2018
Average result = Win by 23.83 points
West Coast are 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS at Optus Stadium in finals matches
Wins of 66, 16, and 55
West Coast are 6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS at Optus Stadium in 2020
Slight deterrent – 5 of the 6 games have landed within 10 points of the closing line. Almost a coin flip.
We’re going back to the well with one of our favourite player props…
Tay Adams has played in 6 finals, and has scored 110+ in 5 of them
64, 112, 122, 120, 110, 118 (Average 107.67, Median 115)
80% weighting = Average 86.14, Median 92
Has scored over 87.5 in 11 of his 17 games this season
Finals absolutely suits Tay Adams play style – a hunter who thrives on competitiveness and ruthlessness. Expect a 25 touch 8 tackle performance tonight.
Collingwood have conceded the most DT Points to defenders in the league in 2020
Conceding an average of 75 points per top 3 defenders.
Take your pick between Hurn, Duggan and Sheppard
Duggan is definitely the most consistent, landing between 65 and 80 in 75% of games
Shannon Hurn is probably in the best form, averaging 84 in his last 3 games
Recommended Bets:
- 2 Units (Max Player Prop Stake) – Tay Adams Over 86.5 DT Points @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)
- 1.5 Units – Shannon Hurn Over 61.5 DT Points @ $1.80 (Topsport)
- 1 Units – Liam Duggan Over 71.5 DT Points @ $1.88 (Pointsbet)
Same Game Multis
Odds are correct as of 15:25, 3rd of October, 2020 (AEST). Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.
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